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  "Title": "Bayesian Meta-Prediction in the Presence of Prediction Error",
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  "Authors@R": "c(\nperson(\"Jorge\", \"Piqueras Marqués\", , \"jorge.piqueras.m@gmail.com\", role = c(\"aut\", \"cre\"),\ncomment = c(ORCID = \"0000-0002-6812-2106\")),\nperson(\"Anabel\", \"Forte Deltell\", , \"anabel.forte@uv.es\", role = \"aut\",\ncomment = c(ORCID = \"0000-0001-9534-1817\")),\nperson(\"Joaquin\", \"Martinez Minaya\", , \"jmarmin@eio.upv.es\", role = \"ctb\",\ncomment = c(ORCID = \"0000-0002-1016-8734\"))\n)",
  "Description": "Fits pseudo-Bayesian Model Averaging (pBMA) and Bayesian\nStacking ensembles of linear meta-models while explicitly\naccounting for the prediction errors of the individual models,\nbuilding on the Bayesian Stacking of predictive distributions\nframework of Yao et al. (2018) <doi:10.1214/17-BA1091>. When\nnative uncertainty estimates are unavailable, it provides tools\nto estimate heteroscedastic errors via Local Polynomial\nRegression (LOESS). The meta-model space is explored using\nexhaustive search, a Markov Chain Monte Carlo Model Composition\n(MC3) algorithm following Madigan and Raftery (1994)\n<doi:10.1080/01621459.1994.10476894> when pBMA is selected, or\na tabu-guided heuristic search with parallel tempering when\nbayesian stacking is selected, all powered by 'brms' (Bürkner,\n2017 <doi:10.18637/jss.v080.i01>).",
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  "Repository": "https://jorgepiquerasmarques.r-universe.dev",
  "Date/Publication": "2026-10-29 10:20:14 UTC",
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  "Author": "Jorge Piqueras Marqués [aut, cre] (ORCID:\n<https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6812-2106>),\nAnabel Forte Deltell [aut] (ORCID:\n<https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9534-1817>),\nJoaquin Martinez Minaya [ctb] (ORCID:\n<https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1016-8734>)",
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  "_created": "2026-10-30T11:27:33.000Z",
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